ANALYSIS: The Rise of Beef and Dairy Animal Crossbreeding in the US 

Beef-on-dairy (beef x dairy) crossbreeding has gained significant traction in recent years, particularly the use of Holstein cows bred with widely used beef cattle breeds.  Financial incentives are present for dairy farmers in times when milk checks remain uncertain.

Historically, however, the beef and dairy sectors have operated as largely separate industries. Dairy farms have primarily focused on milk production, with breeding programs aimed at optimizing traits like milk yield, udder health, and reproductive efficiency...

ANALYSIS: China’s Meat Imports Slip 6.4% MoM to 512,899 mt in April

China in April 2025 imported 512,899 metric tons (mt) of meat, including variety meats, down 6.4% month-on-month (MoM), according to preliminary figures from China’s General Administration of Customs (GACC).

The 34,926 mt decline in exports reflected a mix of challenges. The ongoing cost-of-living crisis has weighed on meat consumption, while a boost in domestic production during Q1 2025, fueled by a recovery in pig farming and higher beef and poultry output, has lessened reliance on imports...

House Agriculture Committee Advances Legislation with Key NCBA Priorities

Today, the House Agriculture Committee passed their initial reconciliation bill, which contains several NCBA supported provisions that strengthen our defense against foreign animal disease and support producers who have lost cattle due to predator depredation or natural disasters. The legislation now moves to the full House of Representatives for further consideration.

“Cattle farmers and ranchers across the country have continued advocating for tools that protect the cattle industry from foreign animal disease and help producers recover from the loss of their cattle, whether by predator...

Brazil’s Meatpacker Marfrig Seeks BRF Acquisition

Marfrig has announced its agreement to buy all remaining shares of Brazilian firm BRF to turn the other Brazilian firm it into a subsidiary.

Marfrig forecasts R$24 million (USD$4.7 million) in costs associated with the merger, but R$485 million per year in new revenue and cost synergies, largely though cross-selling and logistics optimisation after the acquisition.

Marfrig already owns 50.49% of the Brazilian firn. It acquired around a quarter of BRF's shares in 2021. 

The acquisition would increase Marfrig’s capacity in poultry, pork, and processed foods...

ANALYSIS: US Retail Tongue Distribution and Non-Discounted Price Leading up to Cinco de Mayo

According to Circana data for week ending the last Sunday before Cinco de Mayo, the average top distribution areas for 2024 and 2025 were: Los Angeles, CA; Phoenix/Tucson, AZ; Dallas-Fort Worth, TX; Roanoke, VA; and New York, NY. Meanwhile, the areas with the highest average price charged to consumers for 2024 and 2025 were: Buffalo/Rochester, NY; Syracuse, NY; Las Vegas, NV; Phoenix/Tucson, AZ; and San Diego, CA.  

Roanoke, VA was a standout because it’s 82 lbs worth 

ANALYSIS: US-Mexico Ribeye Price Gaps and Market Shifts

Historically, the export market for Mexican beef to the US has shown consistent year-over-year volume increases, positioning Mexico as a key source for buyers seeking products to meet inventory needs. However, recent years have brought challenges, with rising demand and price surges in the US market, alongside exchange rate fluctuations, causing price differentials to shift based on factors like seasonality. 

From January to April 2024, Mexican Ribeye averaged between $5.19 and $5.90 per pound, while US No Roll ranged from $6.99 to $7.12 per pound...

JBS Q1 2025 Net Profit Up 50% on Pork, Poultry Gains

Brazilian meat company JBS reported a 50.5% increase in net profit in the first quarter of 2025 reaching 2.92 billion reais ($521 million). Revenue rose 8.5% to $19.5 billion.

The company said strong results in its pork and poultry operations offset continued weakness in North American beef. Seara, its Brazil-based unit, reported an EBITDA margin of 19.8%, while the North American beef business posted a negative 1.6% EBITDA margin, despite net sales up by 16%.

Beef margins were pressured by record cattle...

The Retail Rundown: Pre-Grilling Season Retail Insights

With Memorial Day fast approaching, retailers are ramping up promotions to jumpstart the unofficial kickoff to the summer grilling season—a crucial window for driving foot traffic and boosting meat department sales.

The next two weeks are key, as market participants closely watch consumer demand ahead of what is typically one of the busiest periods for beef sales. Protein items are being prominently showcased alongside vibrant seasonal produce, enhancing the appeal of in-store displays.

Seafood leads the protein feature mix this week, accounting for nearly 30% of all advertised protein items...

Jack Link’s Partners with MrBeast to Launch Co-Branded Line of Protein Snacks

Jack Link’s, a global leader in meat snacks and one of the largest privately owned food companies in the US, has announced a global partnership with digital creator MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) to launch a new line of protein-packed meat snacks.

This groundbreaking collaboration marks MrBeast’s first-ever partnership with a Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) company for a co-branded product line. It brings together Jack Link’s expertise in traditional food manufacturing with MrBeast’s massive digital reach and influence...

ANALYSIS: Brazilian Fresh Beef Exports Saw a 12.2% Monthly Growth in April, Up 16.3% YoY

The latest data released by Brazil’s Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade, and Services showed that the country’s fresh (chilled and frozen) beef exports recorded strong performance in April, reaching 241,573 metric tons (mt). This marks record high for the month, up 12.2% from March and 16.3% higher compared to the same period last year.

China maintained its position as Brazil's leading trading partner, recording an 11.1% MoM growth to 106,639 mt. This represents a 5.6% YoY increase...

China, UK Trade Talks Pose Positive Opportunities for US Animal Food Industry

The American Feed Industry Association (AFIA) is pleased to see a cooling of U.S. tariffs on and retaliatory tariffs from China and a proposed trade agreement with the United Kingdom coming to fruition, given discussions late last week and over the weekend between the U.S. and respective countries’ trade officials. Both China and the United Kingdom present valuable opportunities for U.S. animal food manufacturers, which produce some of the safest, highest quality and innovative feed, feed ingredients and pet food globally...

HPAI H5N1 Virus in Dairy Cattle – What We Know

In March 2024, Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) A (H5N1), commonly referred to as bird flu, was confirmed in domestic US livestock for the first time in a dairy operation in Texas. Since then, the virus has spread to 1,053 dairy operations across 17 states, raising widespread uncertainty throughout the dairy and livestock markets. Industry participants have raised concerns about the outbreak's potential impact on consumer perception and demand for dairy and meat products, though government agencies reiterate that the national food supply remains safe. Expana is closely monitoring the situation...

Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #8

Expana’s global team of specialist reporters has been tracking every twist and turn in the fluid tariff situation.

Click to read "Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #8."

This report allows the Expana community to see where key commodity markets stand as of this past week... Click the above PDF report, or keep scrolling to read in plain text...

Dr. Casey Means Appointed to US Surgeon General

On May 8, Dr. Casey Means was appointed to be the next US Surgeon General by US President Trump, after a recommendation from US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. A forthcoming Senate hearing will occur to vote whether to confirm Means to this position, Expana has reported. 

Means associates diet with the root cause of the “chronic disease epidemic” in America. 

“Metabolic dysfunction is largely not a genetic issue. It’s caused by toxic American ultra-processed industrial food, toxic American chemicals, toxic American medication, and our toxic sedentary indoor lifestyles..."

ANALYSIS: 2025 US Top Sirloin Butt Prices Climb 48% From January Lows

With grilling season approaching and tenderloins, ribeyes, and strips commanding elevated prices, many consumers are turning to more economical alternatives such as the boneless Choice top sirloin butt. Prices for this item are now at record highs for this time of year, currently sitting at $6.12/lb which shows a 35% increase over 2024 levels and a 48% jump from the lows seen in January 2025. When compared to the 3-year average, current pricing is also 36% higher, highlighting just how strong this rally has been...

49th Executive Conference Highlights Resilience and Future Outlook of Animal Protein Sector

This year’s Executive Conference held in Las Vegas from May 5–7 for senior leaders in the animal protein sector, was an informative show of the industry’s and what we can expect from the protein sector in the coming years.  

“We feed the ever-growing needs of the entire population,” said Russ Whitman, Expana’s Director of Market Reporting, in his opening remarks. 

Despite challenges related to animal health, regulatory shifts, and geopolitical tensions, the industry has demonstrated remarkable perseverance. 

ANALYSIS: Uruguay’s Beef Exports Fall in April Amid US Modest Growth and China's Persistent Downturn

According to the latest data from Uruguay’s National Customs Directorate, fresh beef exports totaled 28,142 metric tons (mt) in April. This corresponds to a 6.5% decline compared to March and a 7.0% drop Y-o-Y, reflecting softer demand from the Chinese market, partially offset by modest growth in other regions.

The US remained Uruguay’s top beef export destination after overtaking China two months ago, expanding its share to 41.7% of total volume shipped during April, or 11,723 mt. This represents a modest 2.6% M-o-M increase but a notable 42.6% gain...

The Retail Rundown: Grocers Take on Foodservice for a Slice of Mother’s Day Spending

Grocers are gearing up to win a slice of Mother’s Day sales, which are traditionally dominated by restaurants and dining out. While foodservice still captures the lion’s share of spending, supermarkets are making strategic plays to compete for consumers' dollars.

According to the National Retail Federation, Mother’s Day spending is projected to hit $34.1 billion this year—up from $33.5 billion in 2024 and just shy of the 2023 record of $35.7 billion. About 84% of US adults are expected to celebrate, spending an average of $259.04 on gifts and festivities...

ANALYSIS: Mexican Beef Export Trends in Q1 2025

The Mexican beef export market to the US showed mixed trends in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting shifts in trade dynamics. The short period of US tariff imposition on Mexico marked a turning point in market activity, leading some exporters to reduce or suspend shipments while others negotiated agreements to manage the new costs. Exchange rate fluctuations driven by macroeconomic factors initially boosted export incentives but rising domestic demand in Mexico and a stronger peso later shifted the focus to the local market. Feeder cattle exports also saw changes following the November 2024 suspension, with new inspections to monitor cattle health and import viability altering trade flows...

ANALYSIS: US Ribeyes & Tenderloins, Easter 2024 vs 2025

Using Circana retail scanner data, we analyzed total ribeye and tenderloin sales during the week leading up to Easter and Easter week itself to compare buying activity in 2024 (the Catholic Easter) and 2025 (the combined Orthodox and Catholic Easter). Both cuts posted strong year-over-year growth: ribeye sales rose 16%, increasing from roughly $579 million in 2024 to $670 million in 2025, while tenderloin sales climbed 17%, from $126 million to $147 million.

In 2025, the alignment of Orthodox and Catholic Easter on the same date created a more concentrated holiday demand window, likely boosting promotional activity and driving more focused consumer engagement. As a result, many shoppers consolidated purchases into a single peak buying period, contributing to the notable increase in total sales for both items...

Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #7

Expana’s global team of specialist reporters has been tracking every twist and turn in the fluid tariff situation.

Click to read "Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #7."

This report allows the Expana community to see where key commodity markets stand as of this past week... Click the above PDF report, or keep scrolling to read in plain text...

Smith Packing Recalls Approximately 18,792 Pounds of RTE Sausage and Sliced Meat and Poultry Product

According to an announcement from the US Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS), Smith Packing, LLC is recalling approximately 18,792 pounds of ready-to-eat sausage and sliced meat and poultry products due to excessive sodium nitrite levels.

This  recall follows an investigation prompted by customer complaints about an off-putting taste and/or discoloration of the product.

The affected items were produced between February 19 and April 24, 2025, bear establishment numbers “EST. 4578”...

ANALYSIS: US Red Meat Cold Storage Stocks Decline on Coasts MoM

According to the latest USDA cold storage report, boneless beef stocks declined in March compared to February, with the Middle Atlantic region down 6% and the Pacific region down 5%. Both areas serve as key entry points for imported beef, with cold storage typically the first stop after arrival at a port.

Despite the implementation of new tariffs, imported frozen beef remains competitively priced relative to domestic fresh product. This price advantage has influenced cold storage dynamics, as buyers draw down inventories for immediate...

ANALYSIS: Japan’s Q1 2025 Beef Imports Slump 17.5% to 92,915 mt

Japan’s total beef imports in Q1 2025 fell 17.5% year on year (YoY) to 92,915 metric tons (mt), a decline of 19,729 mt, according to the latest data from Japan’s Trade Statistics.

The sharpest drops were recorded from key suppliers including Australia and the United States (US), along with smaller reductions from Canada, New Zealand, and Mexico.

Imports from the US totaled 34,636 mt, down 14.9% YoY, or 6,048 mt on the back of its low cattle herd. Despite its production boom, shipments from Australia also fell...

ANALYSIS: Japan’s Beef Intake Plunges to 23-Year Low as Household Budgets Tighten

Japan's beef consumption dropped to a 23-year low in February 2025, with per capita intake falling to just 134 grams, according to data from the Agriculture & Livestock Industries Corporation (ALIC).

This marks the lowest level since November 2001, driven by inflationary pressures and a continued squeeze in household budgets. The weak yen has exacerbated the situation, pushing up the cost of imports, including food and energy, and fueling broader inflation.

Industry sources have long commented that budget-conscious consumers are turning to...

The Retail Rundown: Grocers Turn Up the Heat 

Grocers are turning up the heat in this week’s circulars, leaning into classic summer grilling staples—ribs, burgers, and barbecue fixings—signaling early excitement for the season even with Memorial Day still a few weeks away.

Seafood tops this week’s retail protein promotions, claiming roughly 28% of total ad space. Beef follows with 24.7%, trailed by pork at 23.1% and chicken at 20.2%. Turkey ads were slashed by half compared to last week, now accounting for just 3% of circular space.

Retailers are also highlighting festive favorites ahead of Cinco de Mayo. Ground beef in the 78–84% lean range averaged $4.89 per...

ANALYSIS: New Zealand’s Q1 2025 Beef Exports Rises 1.3% YoY to 134,240 mt

New Zealand’s beef exports in the first quarter of 2025 rose 1.3% year-on-year (YoY) to 134,240 metric tons, according to the latest data from Stats NZ.

Stronger volumes to key markets including the United States, Canada, Korea, Taiwan, and the United Kingdom supported the quarterly gain. Exports to China and Japan pulled back, but total shipments still edged up by 1,781 mt.

In the first quarter of 2025, the US cemented its position as New Zealand’s top beef market, taking...

Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #6

Expana’s global team of specialist reporters has been tracking every twist and turn in the fluid tariff situation.

Click to read "Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #6."

This report allows the Expana community to see where key commodity markets stand as of this past week... Click the above PDF report, or keep scrolling to read in plain text...

The Retail Rundown: Post-Easter Pause Sets Stage for Protein Push

With Easter now in the rearview, retailers will largely tread water, positioning themselves for a seasonal surge in demand ahead of the start of summer.

Grilling demand is beginning to build toward a Memorial Day crescendo, prompting grocers to build inventory and plan aggressive promotions to jumpstart the season. 

But first up is Cinco de Mayo. While it's a smaller holiday, it can still drive foot traffic. Proteins like pork, steak, and chicken are expected to see solid movement as shoppers make tacos, burritos, enchiladas, and other festive fare...

ANALYSIS: China’s Q1 2025 Beef Imports Falls 11.6% YoY to 681,607 mt

China's total beef imports for the first quarter of the 2025 calendar year plunged to 681,607 metric tons (mt), according to the latest data from the General Administration of Customs of China (GACC).

Inbound shipments fell by 11.6% year-on-year (YoY), the 89,662 mt decline was led by reduced volumes from Brazil, Argentina, Bolivia, Uruguay and New Zealand. However, strong volumes from the United States (US) and Australia helped cushion the overall decline.

Supply from South America Slides

Volumes from China’s...

Young American Food Brands Acquires Best Provision Co., Expanding Premium Meat Offerings

Young American Food Brands has announced its fourth acquisition since 2022 with the purchase of Best Provision Co., an 87-year-old pioneer in premium smoked and cooked meats.

Since 2022, Young American has steadily expanded its portfolio with the acquisitions of Hofmann Sausage, Brooklyn Burger, and Devault Foods. The addition of Best Provision further strengthens the company’s position in the premium meat category, particularly in the fully cooked and smoked segment.

A respected industry leader with deep roots in the community...

Baldor Specialty Foods Acquires Golden Packing, Launches Golden Meat Co.

Baldor Specialty Foods announced today the acquisition of Golden Packing, a premium meat company based in the Hunts Point Cooperative Market. As part of the acquisition, the business will operate under a new name: Golden Meat Co.

This strategic move aims to vertically integrate Baldor’s meat processing operations by combining its high-end sourcing capabilities with Golden’s expert butchering—all while preserving the brand’s established reputation for quality.

With this acquisition, Baldor expands its portfolio of premium, portioned meats, offering chef customers enhanced labor savings and...

ANALYSIS: Korea’s Q1 2025 Beef Imports Grow 2.7% Y-o-Y to 142,015 mt

Korea’s beef imports in the first quarter of 2025 totaled 142,015 metric tons (mt), rising a modest 2.7% year-on-year (YoY), according to the latest data from Korea Customs Service.

The 3,792 mt increase was driven by higher in-bound shipments from Australia and Canada, while volumes from the United States (US) and New Zealand declined. Australian exports climbed early in 2025 as importers front-loaded in-quota volumes on the back of of an early trigger of the 2024 safeguard threshold...

Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #5

Expana’s global team of specialist reporters has been tracking every twist and turn in the fluid tariff situation.

Click to read "Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #5."

This report allows the Expana community to see where key commodity markets stand as of this past week... Click the above PDF report, or keep scrolling to read in plain text...

ANALYSIS: Mexico Feeder Cattle Exports Show Recovery by March 2025

Mexico’s feeder cattle exports to the United States faced a significant disruption after the New World screwworm was detected in November 2024, prompting a trade suspension. Exports resumed in February 2025 through limited ports under strict inspection protocols, starting with San Jeronimo, Chihuahua, and Agua Prieta, Sonora, via the Santa Teresa and Douglas ports of entry. By March 2025, Nogales became the fourth operational port, while other ports are still awaiting authorization to install inspection pens. 

As of March 31, 2025, exports reached 75,157 head...

ANALYSIS: US 2025 Ribeye Prices Surge Into Easter

As Easter weekend approaches, boneless ribeye’s remain a central focus in the boxed beef market. Strong seasonal interest has pushed prices significantly higher, from late February lows of $9.41/lb to $13.10/lb in early April, roughly a 39% increase.

Ribeye’s are traditionally featured as a holiday centerpiece by both retail and foodservice sectors, fueling a surge in buying activity leading up to Easter. This seasonal demand, combined with tightening supplies, has been a key driver behind the recent price rally...

The Retail Rundown: Protein Adds to Holiday Price Gains

Easter week has arrived and grocers are tapping into the holiday's spending momentum. But for consumers, Easter dinner is shaping up to be pricier than last year, with many holiday staples seeing year-over-year price increases.

According to Expana’s latest US Easter Index—which tracks price changes in key holiday-related commodities—overall prices rose 11.8% year-over-year, driven largely by higher costs in the protein and bakery categories.

Expana’s Easter Protein Index, which covers lamb, beef, pork, salmon, cod, and eggs...

Joel Yashinsky Appointed Chief Marketing Officer of Burger King US & Canada

Today, Burger King® announced Joel Yashinsky as Chief Marketing Officer for the US & Canada. Yashinsky will build on the brand’s existing Reclaim the Flame plan that was created with the advice and support of Burger King Franchisees.

“We are thrilled to welcome Joel to the Burger King leadership team and the broader BK family,” said Tom Curtis, President of Burger King US & Canada. “Joel joins us at an exciting time for the brand, and brings the ideal mix of strategic marketing...

ANALYSIS: Tariff Escalation Between US and China Fuels Ripple Effects in Brazil–China Beef Trade

The latest round of tariff sanctions has intensified uncertainties in the global beef market. The most recent update saw China announcing an equivalent 125% tariff on US goods in response to the latest tariff increase on Chinese imports, clarified by the White House to be a total of 145%. In the same announcement, President Trump set a 10% baseline tariff for a 90-day period to all countries not engaging in equivalent tariff actions.

While it remains unclear whether beef is...

ANALYSIS: China’s Q1 2025 Meat Imports Slip 2.0% to 1.64M mt on Soft Demand, Trade Rift

China imported a total of 1.64 million metric tons (mt) of meat, including variety meats, in the first quarter of 2025, down 2.0% year-on-year (y-o-y), according to preliminary figures from China’s General Administration of Customs (GACC). The decline reflected deepening trade friction with the United States (US) and ongoing economic headwinds that continue to weigh on import demand.

Industry players also pointed to softer-than-expected consumer demand after the Lunar New Year festivities and increased.

Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #4

Expana’s global team of specialist reporters has been tracking every twist and turn in the fluid tariff situation.

Click to read "Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #4."

This report allows the Expana community to see where key commodity markets stand as of this past week... Click the above PDF report, or keep scrolling to read in plain text...

Red Robin Launches Bottomless Burger Pass to Drive Traffic

In recognition of National Burger Month, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers is introducing a new consumer engagement initiative designed to boost traffic and brand visibility: the Bottomless Burger Pass.

Set to launch April 17 at 9 a.m. MT, the limited-time offering allows guests to purchase a pass online at RedRobin.com/National-Burger-Month, granting them access to one gourmet burger and bottomless side per day throughout May 1–31, for just $20.

A limited number of black-and-gold...

The Retail Rundown: Easter Momentum Builds

In the final full week of Lent, seafood accounts for 35% of all protein retail promotions, gaining ground on pork, which holds 23% of ad space. Beef promotions slipped to 20%, while chicken has 15%. Lamb and veal promotions, though still minimal, doubled from the previous week, rising to 2% ahead of Easter.

Notably, Easter falls late this year—on April 20—affecting year-over-year (YOY) comparisons. Ham promotions last week were offered at premium price points compared to 2024. Discounted boneless smoked hams averaged...

Pre Brands Introduces Expanded Grass-Fed Selection at BJ's Wholesale Club

Pre Brands has expanded its lineup of "better-for-you" grass-fed steaks, ground beef, and stew meat, now available at BJ's Wholesale Club locations.

Currently, Pre Brands offers its 20 oz two-pack ribeye and 20 oz two-pack New York strip at all BJ’s banners.

The latest expansion introduces three new products: an 18 oz, three-pack of sirloin steaks; 16 oz stew meat; and 90% lean ground beef in a 48 oz, three-pack. This marks a six-fold increase in the availability...

ANALYSIS: Average US Retail Q1 Ground Chuck Price up Y-o-Y; Deeper Discounts Noted

According to the latest data from Circana, the average retail price of ground chuck in the United States for the first quarter of 2025 was $6.17 per pound, a slight increase from $6.09 per pound in Q1 2024. Last year's Q1 price was the second highest of the year, surpassed only by Q2.

However, the average discounted price (the price on sale) for ground chuck in Q1 2025 dropped to $4.81 per pound...

ANALYSIS: Australia’s Q1 2025 Beef Exports Grow 12.7% Y-o-Y to 310,974 mt

Australia’s beef exports rose 12.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first quarter of 2025 to 310,974 metric tons (mt), according to data from the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries, and Forestry (DAFF).

Australia’s beef exports rose by 35,983 mt in Q1 2025, continuing a strong upward trajectory. The growth was underpinned by tightening domestic supply in the United States (US), which created space for Australia’s production to gain ground.

The Oceanic exporter also made inroads in key export markets such...

ANALYSIS: Brazilian Fresh Beef Exports Surged 13.1% M-o-M in March

Brazilian fresh beef exports (chilled or frozen) grew significantly in March, reaching 215,422 metric tons (mt), according to the latest data from Brazil’s Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade, and Services. This is 13.1% higher than February, and accounts for a notable 29.6% Y-o-Y increase.  

China remains the top destination for Brazilian beef, contributing with 95,962 mt of the total volume. This represents a modest 3.7% monthly growth and is 18.2% higher compared to the same period last year...