ANALYSIS: Low US Slaughter Drives New Seasonal Pattern in Chuck Rolls
The Choice Chuck Roll market experienced an unusually early and aggressive rally in 2025, with prices climbing sharply from late July through early September, well ahead of the typical seasonal upturn seen in late August or early October. This year’s rally peaked more than 60% above early-summer lows, driven by strong forward buying and limited spot market availability as packers operated under reduced slaughter schedules.
Weekly federally inspected slaughter has consistently run below year-ago levels, most recently totaling 547,000 head, the lowest for this...
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