Middle East Market Intelligence Brief: Week Ending October 2, 2026

Iran is preparing a stronger response if the United States resumes large-scale attacks, including potentially expanding targets beyond US-linked assets and involving allied groups in the region.

Tehran continues diplomatic efforts, though Iranian officials say an agreement with Washington appears unlikely. The prolonged war and economic pressure are raising concerns about Iran’s economy and possible domestic unrest.

Meanwhile, Brazil’s closely contested election between Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro is drawing attention over fiscal policy and market impacts, alongside upcoming elections in other countries, including the US.

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